Results tagged ‘ Speculation ’

More Unflappable Optimism: The Fifth Starter

If you read my previous post on how spring training baseball, even when your pitchers suck and you lose all the time, is really butterflies and rainbows on a sunny day in disguise, you probably are aware of the fact that, before games start actually counting (and even through April, when games technically do count), I’m irritatingly and unflappably optimistic about my Yankees.  This, of course, can be dampered by injuries, but as long as Nick Johnson can swing a baseball bat without assistance and as long as Frankie Cervelli is avoiding the headaches, this spring training hasn’t given me any reason to stop smiling.

“But what about Joba?”  you say.  ”What about our fifth starter?  You can’t tell me that you smile at a guy with a 27.00 ERA.”
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Well, maybe I don’t smile at him, per se.  It’s been ugly so far.  There’s no denying that.  Not only is Joba getting outpitched by Phil Hughes, he’s getting outpitched by … well, basically everyone.
I’m not ready to count Joba out of the rotation yet (and, according to LoHud, Joe Girardi has some pretty concrete reasons to keep watching), but, even if we are going to take Joba at face value … that face being the one displayed in the above picture … there’s a heck of a lot of silver lining to this competition for the fifth starter spot.

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SILVER.  LINING.
Sergio Mitre and Alfredo Aceves were afterthoughts.  I didn’t even think they were in the picture even nominally until Brian Cashman announced that the fifth starter competition was a five-horse race … Mitre, Aceves, and Chad Gaudin were being considered as well as the incumbent Joba and Hughes.
While Joba has struggled mightily and Phil has been solid but unspectacular, Mitre and Aceves have lit up spring training.  Aceves, if I’m not mistaken, has not allowed a baserunner.  While neither of them have the ceiling of a Chamberlain or Hughes, their success simply means more depth for the Yankees.  More pitching depth.  More major league options in case the 23-year-old Hughes or the 24-year-old Chamberlain are not ready to contribute as major league starting pitchers. 
I still expect one of Joba or Hughes to take the fifth starter spot, if only because the organization feels the need to develop their significant upside, but success — even out of longshot candidates — is never, ever a bad thing.
And that’s all for today’s dose of unflappable spring training optimism.
Till next time,
Ana
Now Playing:  I Got The Feelin’ – James Brown

In Response to Jane: Super Bowl Hype

Early this morning/late last night, one of my favorite Yankees bloggers, Jane Heller, wrote a post on her blog, Confessions of a She-Fan (link to actual post I’m referring to), lamenting the popularity of the Super Bowl as opposed to the World Series.

It’s a valid concern for baseball fans, and I think it’s one that deserves exploration.  I started responding in a comment on her blog, but I figured, why not transfer my thoughts here?
I actually think that the popularity of the Super Bowl as opposed to the World Series has less to do with the pure popularity of the sports, head-to-head, than with the concept of marketability.  There are a lot of things that postseason baseball is, but highly marketable is not one of them.  A few main points:
  • Efficiency

One of the main reasons that postseason baseball isn’t super marketable is because it’s incredibly “inefficient” when compared to football.  With football, the playoffs are a one-and-done deal, and the Super Bowl is, as well.  There’s one game, and, when the clock runs out on that game, the Super Bowl is over.  No ifs, ands, or buts.  With the baseball postseason, the very least you could have in any long series is 4 games.  Personally, I love this about the baseball playoffs – more to savor – but the time-by-results efficiency simply isn’t there.

  • Scheduling

Because of this lack of efficiency, we get scheduling problems that don’t apply to football.  The Super Bowl, being a one-and-done kind of thing, can be easily scheduled for the same time every year.  The fact that it is Super Bowl Sunday – not Tuesday, not Wednesday — lessens the impact of coast-to-coast time zones, because there is generally no school or work on Sunday regardless of whether it’s 3:30 or 6:30 PM.

Since baseball’s postseason series’ have an indeterminate amount of games, and uniformly too many to fit into a weekend, we get into the issue of maximizing viewer potential on weekdays.  Attempting to straddle the East Coast and West Coast markets on a weekday make for dinnertime starts on the West Coast (5 PM, still a bit early to be “prime time”) and 8 PM starts on the East Coast, which is all well and good for an hour or two-hour-long program, but baseball games, often running upwards of three and four hours, frequently stretch into the wee hours of the morning, Eastern Standard Time.
  • Marketing/Advertising

Because of this sort of lose-lose scheduling conundrum, it’s really hard to market postseason baseball in the same way that football is marketed.  The “clash-of-the-Titans” element is frequently still there, although it’s less obvious than the standard QB-vs.-QB, but since series are scheduled all throughout the week and often at different times of the month year-to-year, it’s hard to establish the viewing routine necessary to cultivate a Super Bowl-like media/marketing following.  In turn, without the massive media response to an established “day,” it’s hard to get the kind of advertising response that the Super Bowl generates, in turn losing baseball another aspect of what makes the Super Bowl so popular (Super Bowl ads).

It seems to me that in terms of structure, football is simply better suited to being a “day.”  Football has a halftime, which lends itself to a highly marketable halftime show — football has a time clock, which means we have some clue as to when the game is going to end.  Without substantially changing the structure of baseball as we know it, it seems borderline impossible for the World Series to generate the kind of media hype and standard viewer following that the Super Bowl has.  Bottom line, I guess … baseball is much more of a time investment, which lends itself less well to being a marketing phenomenon, but is a blessing to those of us who count down the days to Spring Training every winter.
Till next time,
Ana
Now Playing: What’s Going On – Marvin Gaye

Remember This Guy?: And, Quick Looks Backwards and Forwards

Apparently, this afternoon, the Yankees signed OF/1B/DH/borderline major league baseball player Marcus Thames to a minor league deal.  Thames is a second-time Yankee, and we all remember him in pinstripes for one thing and one thing only; of course, that being the time he hit the first pitch he saw in the big leagues over the fence off this guy:
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Thames will presumably serve as Spring Training competition to Jamie Hoffmann for the 5th outfielder/Gardner-Winn-caddy spot, and as minor league depth if he doesn’t make the team come April.
This, an extremely minor move with ten days left before Pitchers and Catchers report to Spring Training, seems to close the book on an offseason characterized by somewhat minor moves.  Coming off a 2008-2009 offseason that featured three huge free-agent signings and a general overhaul of the team, the 2009-2010 offseason hasn’t quite generated the same splash.  This is with good reason, of course; the 2008 Yankees were a third-place, 89-win team, whereas the 2009 Yankees won 103 games and, as we all know, their 27th World Series Title.   
With that said, here’s a quick look at who’s notably come and gone since the end of last season:

The Hellos
Curtis Granderson

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My favorite acquisition of the offseason.  The Yanks traded Phil Coke, Ian Kennedy, and prospect Austin Jackson for the All-Star centerfielder.  He runs well, he plays great defense, he hits for power, and he’s supposed to be one of the greatest guys ever.  I’m fully prepared for him to become one of my favorites very quickly.
Javier Vazquez

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A second-time Yankee, Vazquez’s first go-round, in 2004, ended on a well-documented sour note.   Reacquired this offseason for Melky Cabrera, Mike Dunn, and Arodys Vizcaino, Vazquez is set to step into the fourth-starter slot, behind CC Sabathia, AJ Burnett, and Andy Pettitte; with a solid rotation in front of him and a well-rounded team behind him, he seems to be primed for redemption in the eyes of Yankees fans.
Nick Johnson

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Hey, you look familiar … yet another second-time Yankee (I sense a trend), Johnson was signed on a 1-year deal as a free agent.  He will fill the DH spot and likely hit second, behind Jeter and in front of Teixeira and Rodriguez.  We call him “OBP Jesus” — with a lifetime .402 on-base percentage, he could account for many RBI opportunities for the powerhouses hitting behind him.
Also acquired: Randy Winn (4th OF/LF split)
The Goodbyes
Hideki Matsui

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Oh, Godzilla.  The 2009 World Series MVP spent 7 years in New York, transitioning from the outfield to DH as his knees proves unsuited for field play.  A proven clutch hitter and a steady presence in the clubhouse, I’m glad that the last memory we as fans have of him in pinstripes is that of his prolific World Series performance, where he batted .615 over 6 games and drove in 8 runs, 6 of which came in a historic Game 6.  He signed with the Los Angeles Angels this offseason.
Johnny Damon
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While it is not technically official that the former caveman will not be a Yankee next year, the trade for Granderson and the signing of Winn signal the end of Damon’s tenure beyond reasonable doubt.  Our centerfielder-turned-leftfielder since 2006, Damon was a joy to watch, and few of us will ever forget his game changing double-steal in Game 4 of this past World Series.
Especially after the events of last postseason, it certainly hurts to let Damon and Matsui go — however, in my opinion, I think Cashman has done a great job this offseason keeping to budget and improving team speed, defense, and pitching.  The quest for a repeat should be a lot of fun to watch.
Till next time,
Ana
Now Playing: Nothin’ (That Compares 2 U) – The Jacksons
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